Archived report
2026-08-08: Advisory
- Original forecast
- Advisory forecast
- Evidence available at the time
- OpenAI: GPT-5.6 Luna becomes the default for Free and Go users; Anthropic: Claude Fable 5 biology safeguards loosened to cut false positives
- Later outcome
- Directionally correct
- Forecast grade
- directional
- What changed afterward
- Issued as Advisory; grading after the window closes.